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DC United vs New York Red Bulls - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Audi Field, Washington, DC
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

DC United host New York Red Bulls in the MLS. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: DC United at 1.38 goals for, 1.77 against; New York Red Bulls at 1.3 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor DC United slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 4:4. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.88, favoring New York Red Bulls. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
DC United
30%
Draws
41%
New York Red Bulls
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New York Red Bulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New York Red Bulls lately — more wins on the board than DC United.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on DC United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
DC United Clean Sheet 20%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC United New York Red Bulls
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 5 8
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.77 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs DC United
4:4
May 24, 2025 MLS
DC United vs New York Red Bulls
0:2
Apr 19, 2025 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs DC United
1:2
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
New York Red Bulls vs DC United
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs DC United
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC United 36 / 100
New York Red Bulls 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC United New York Red Bulls

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: DC United scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

DC United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

DC United VS New York Red Bulls
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

DC United

(Home)
30 Sept
DC United
0 : 1
Paderborn
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
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New York Red Bulls

(Away)
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3
St. Louis City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Seattle Sounders
0 : 0
New York Red Bulls
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)