Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Fall F.
41'
41'
Wallem C.
50'
50'
Durkin C.
Assist: Jeong S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
11%
80%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: St. Louis City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to St. Louis City lately — more wins on the board than DC United.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on St. Louis City taking it.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DC United | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 MLS
DC United vs St. Louis City
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Louis City vs DC United
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 MLS
St. Louis City vs DC United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
DC United Compare
Top Goalscorer Peglow
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
St. Louis City Compare
Top Goalscorer Durkin C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DC United 10 / 100
St. Louis City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DC United St. Louis City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SLC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: St. Louis City conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
DC United's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
DC United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
DC United VS St. Louis City
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
DC United
(Home) 23 Jul
Houston Dynamo
1 : 1 DC United
23 May
DC United
4 : 4 CF Montreal
16 May
DC United
1 : 1 St. Louis City
13 May
DC United
1 : 3 Chicago Fire
10 May
Nashville SC
2 : 2 DC United
Page 1 of 6
23 May
DC United
4 : 4 CF Montreal
16 May
DC United
1 : 1 St. Louis City
13 May
DC United
1 : 3 Chicago Fire
25 Apr
DC United
3 : 2 Orlando City
15 Apr
DC United
3 : 4 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 3
St. Louis City
(Away) 23 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 3 St. Louis City
17 Jul
St. Louis City
3 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0 Austin FC
20 May
St. Louis City
3 : 2 Houston Dynamo
16 May
DC United
1 : 1 St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 3 St. Louis City
16 May
DC United
1 : 1 St. Louis City
10 May
Colorado Rapids
0 : 1 St. Louis City
03 May
Austin FC
2 : 0 St. Louis City
30 Apr
Chicago Fire
1 : 2 St. Louis City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 37:16 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:19 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 30 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:24 | 26 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20:24 | 23 |
| 8 | St. Louis City | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:23 | 22 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:28 | 20 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26:24 | 19 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 29:31 | 18 |
| 13 | San Diego FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 30:28 | 17 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22:32 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18:40 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 33:11 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 42:30 | 34 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 40:40 | 23 |
| 6 | New York City | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:22 | 22 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:25 | 22 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:35 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22:26 | 19 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 27:44 | 17 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22:29 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:32 | 15 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16:26 | 12 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21:31 | 10 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)