Sport Picks
DC United vs Toronto FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Audi Field, Washington, DC 
Match Events
41'
41'
Franklin K.
Own Goal
46'
46'
Sub
Monlouis Z. In: Coello A.
Out: Monlouis Z.
53'
53'
Munteanu L.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between DC United and Toronto FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward DC United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Toronto FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Toronto FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives DC United a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
DC United Clean Sheet 17%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DC United | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 MLS
DC United vs Toronto FC
2:1
May 10, 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs DC United
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 MLS
DC United vs Toronto FC
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs DC United
1:3
Jun 1, 2024 MLS
DC United vs Toronto FC
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
DC United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Toronto FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Corbeanu T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DC United 57 / 100
Toronto FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DC United Toronto FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DC United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toronto FC has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
DC United found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (26 games).
Solid form: DC United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
DC United VS Toronto FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
DC United
(Home) 30 Sept
DC United
0 : 1 Paderborn
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3 DC United
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1 Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
DC United
0 : 1 Paderborn
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1 Columbus Crew
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0 Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 3
Toronto FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1 CF Montreal
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1 Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1 Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
22 Aug
Inter Miami
1 : 2 Toronto FC
31 Jul
New York City
1 : 1 Toronto FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
