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De Graafschap U19 vs Ajax U19

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U19
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Divisie 1 U19 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
De Graafschap U19
30%
Draws
47%
Ajax U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ajax U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • De Graafschap U19 haven't matched Ajax U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives De Graafschap U19 a 23% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 64%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
De Graafschap U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Ajax U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap U19 Ajax U19
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.57 2.71
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
De Graafschap U19 vs Ajax U19
1:1
Oct 27, 2017 Divisie 1 U19
De Graafschap U19 vs Ajax U19
2:2
Mar 29, 2014 Divisie 1 U19
Ajax U19 vs De Graafschap U19
1:1
Jan 18, 2014 Divisie 1 U19
De Graafschap U19 vs Ajax U19
1:4
Mar 2, 2013 Divisie 1 U19
De Graafschap U19 vs Ajax U19
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap U19 56 / 100
Ajax U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap U19 Ajax U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick De Graafschap U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap U19 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Ajax U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: De Graafschap U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap U19 VS Ajax U19
2 Goals Scored 3.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
80% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 100%
40% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap U19

(Home)
22 Sept
De Graafschap U19
5 : 1
PSV U19
19 Sept
Nijmegen U19
6 : 3
De Graafschap U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Zwolle U19
2 : 1
De Graafschap U19
29 Aug
De Graafschap U19
0 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
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Ajax U19

(Away)
19 Sept
PSV U19
3 : 2
Ajax U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
29 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 2
Ajax U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajax U19 5 3 1 1 11:9 10
2 Nijmegen U19 4 3 0 1 17:12 9
3 Feyenoord U19 4 2 1 1 17:9 7
4 AZ Alkmaar U19 5 2 1 2 4:3 7
5 PSV U19 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
6 Zwolle U19 5 2 0 3 6:11 6
7 De Graafschap U19 5 1 2 2 10:10 5
8 Sparta Rotterdam U19 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
Promotion - Divisie 1 U19 (Play Offs)