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De Graafschap vs Al Jazira

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

De Graafschap host Al Jazira in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Al Jazira have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while De Graafschap have conceded 2.25 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor Al Jazira slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 0-1. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 2.13) point toward Al Jazira. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
De Graafschap
11%
Draws
80%
Al Jazira
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Jazira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Jazira come out ahead of De Graafschap on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Jazira's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Al Jazira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap Al Jazira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.25 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
De Graafschap vs Al Jazira
0-1
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Al Jazira vs De Graafschap
3-1
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
De Graafschap vs Al Jazira
2-0
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Al Jazira vs De Graafschap
2-0
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
De Graafschap vs Al Jazira
3-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap 10 / 100
Al Jazira 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap Al Jazira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Jazira let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: De Graafschap remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap VS Al Jazira
2.25 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%