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De Graafschap vs Al Jazira

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

De Graafschap host Al Jazira in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Al Jazira have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while De Graafschap have conceded 2.29 and scored 1.86. Past meetings favor De Graafschap slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 2.31) point toward Al Jazira. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
De Graafschap
15%
Draws
69%
Al Jazira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Jazira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Jazira come out ahead of De Graafschap on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Jazira's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Al Jazira Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap Al Jazira
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
De Graafschap vs Al Jazira
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap 10 / 100
Al Jazira 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap Al Jazira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Jazira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Jazira let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Solid form: De Graafschap remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap VS Al Jazira
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap

(Home)
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1
De Graafschap
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5
Jong AZ Alkmaar
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Al Jazira

(Away)
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
05 Sept
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 3
Al Jazira
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
23 Aug
Al Sharjah
0 : 2
Al Jazira
16 Aug
Hatta
0 : 2
Al Jazira
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