Sport Picks
De Graafschap vs Almere City
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Vijverberg, Doetinchem 
Match Events
11'
11'
Sub
Hardeman J. In: Grotenhuis T.
Out: Hardeman J.
28'
28'
Druijf F.
Assist: Cornelisse E.
43'
43'
Kok T.
AI Match Summary
Almere City in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almere City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Almere City lately — more wins on the board than De Graafschap.
- Almere City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Almere City Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | De Graafschap | Almere City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.39 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Almere City
1:4
May 9, 2026 Eredivisie
De Graafschap vs Almere City
2:2
May 6, 2026 Eredivisie
Almere City vs De Graafschap
3:1
Jan 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs De Graafschap
2:0
Sep 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Almere City
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
De Graafschap Compare
Top Goalscorer Kania J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Almere City Compare
Top Goalscorer Druijf F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cornelisse E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
De Graafschap 10 / 100
Almere City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
De Graafschap Almere City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Almere City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: De Graafschap scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Almere City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
De Graafschap has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
De Graafschap VS Almere City
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
De Graafschap
(Home) 20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5 Jong AZ Alkmaar
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
25 Jul
De Graafschap
4 : 2 Kifisia
Page 1 of 3
Almere City
(Away) 25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2 Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2 Almere City
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
21 Aug
Vitesse
0 : 3 Almere City
08 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 1 Almere City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 24:10 | 18 |
| 2 | Almere City | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Venlo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Waalwijk | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Vitesse | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Maastricht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 7 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 8 | Roda | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Emmen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 11 | NAC Breda | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 17 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
| 18 | TOP Oss | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:21 | 4 |
| 20 | De Graafschap | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:20 | 4 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
