Sport Picks

Stadium Background

De Graafschap vs Almere City Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Jacobs Ja.
36' Event
Druijf F.
Assist: el Dahri H.
46'
Sub
Schoppema L. In: Eggens N.
Out: Schoppema L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
De Graafschap
15%
Draws
51%
Almere City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almere City lately — more wins on the board than De Graafschap.
  • Model gives Almere City a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Almere City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Almere City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Almere City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap Almere City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.79 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Almere City
1:4
May 9, 2026 Eredivisie
De Graafschap vs Almere City
2:2
May 6, 2026 Eredivisie
Almere City vs De Graafschap
3:1
Jan 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs De Graafschap
2:0
Sep 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Almere City
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Besselink R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kwint K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Druijf F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Haan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap 10 / 100
Almere City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap Almere City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: De Graafschap scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Almere City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

De Graafschap has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap VS Almere City
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap

(Home)
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
Page 1 of 6

Almere City

(Away)
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Roda 2
Waalwijk 3
TBD -
Willem II -
Den Bosch 2
Almere City 6
TBD -
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Quarter-finals
Waalwijk 1
Willem II 2
Almere City 5
De Graafschap 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Semi-finals
Willem II 3
Almere City 0
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Final
Willem II 4
FC Volendam 3