Sport Picks

Stadium Background

De Graafschap vs Cambuur

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
van der Sande J.
Assist: Diemers M.
29' Event
Kaninda N.
Assist: de Jong F.
34'
El Allachi C.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between De Graafschap and Cambuur finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward De Graafschap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
De Graafschap
22%
Draws
60%
Cambuur
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cambuur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cambuur come out ahead of De Graafschap on wins alone.
  • Cambuur are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 13%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap Cambuur
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Cambuur
3:1
Oct 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs De Graafschap
2:0
Mar 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs De Graafschap
3:2
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Cambuur
0:2
Mar 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs De Graafschap
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaninda N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schoppema L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Sande J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap 19 / 100
Cambuur 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap Cambuur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Cambuur conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

De Graafschap has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap VS Cambuur
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap

(Home)
17 Jul
De Graafschap
3 : 6
Telstar
12 Jul
De Graafschap
1 : 2
AEK
03 Jul
Heerenveen
7 : 2
De Graafschap
27 Jun
Utrecht
1 : 2
De Graafschap
09 May
De Graafschap
2 : 2
Almere City
Page 1 of 6

Cambuur

(Away)
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2
Cambuur
24 Apr
Cambuur
2 : 1
Vitesse
17 Apr
De Graafschap
3 : 1
Cambuur
10 Apr
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Cambuur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)