Sport Picks
De Graafschap vs Cambuur
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 De Vijverberg, Doetinchem 
Match Events
19'
19'
van der Sande J.
Assist: Diemers M.
29'
29'
Kaninda N.
Assist: de Jong F.
34'
34'
El Allachi C.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between De Graafschap and Cambuur finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward De Graafschap.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambuur
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cambuur come out ahead of De Graafschap on wins alone.
- Cambuur are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | De Graafschap | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.29 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Cambuur
3:1
Oct 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs De Graafschap
2:0
Mar 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs De Graafschap
3:2
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Cambuur
0:2
Mar 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs De Graafschap
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
De Graafschap Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaninda N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Schoppema L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Cambuur Compare
Top Goalscorer van der Sande J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
De Graafschap 22 / 100
Cambuur 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
De Graafschap Cambuur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cambuur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
De Graafschap scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Cambuur let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Difficult form: Cambuur registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
De Graafschap VS Cambuur
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
De Graafschap
(Home) 11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1 De Graafschap
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5 Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5 Jong AZ Alkmaar
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
25 Jul
De Graafschap
4 : 2 Kifisia
17 Jul
De Graafschap
3 : 6 Telstar
Page 1 of 3
Cambuur
(Away) 12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0 Nijmegen
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2 Cambuur
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4 Twente
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5 Feyenoord
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1 Cambuur
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2 Cambuur
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1 Cambuur
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1 Cambuur
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1 Cambuur
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2 Cambuur
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
