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De Graafschap vs Maastricht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

De Graafschap host Maastricht in the Eerste Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: De Graafschap at 1.69 goals for, 2.31 against; Maastricht at 1.1 for, 2.07 against. Past meetings favor De Graafschap slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 3:3. xG projections (2.19 - 1.06) back De Graafschap to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
De Graafschap
20%
Draws
10%
Maastricht
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: De Graafschap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Maastricht haven't matched De Graafschap's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on De Graafschap taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 20%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap Maastricht
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.69 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.31 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs De Graafschap
3:3
Aug 22, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Maastricht
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Maastricht
0:0
Nov 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs De Graafschap
0:0
Apr 26, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Maastricht
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap 85 / 100
Maastricht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap Maastricht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick De Graafschap Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: De Graafschap scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Maastricht let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: De Graafschap stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap VS Maastricht
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap

(Home)
30 Oct
FC Volendam
1 : 2
De Graafschap
27 Oct
Roda
1 : 0
De Graafschap
23 Oct
De Graafschap
1 : 1
Waalwijk
19 Oct
Jong Ajax
2 : 1
De Graafschap
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6

Maastricht

(Away)
31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2
Venlo
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3
Excelsior
23 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 2
Maastricht
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5
Heracles
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0
Maastricht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 13 10 2 1 39:14 32
2 Venlo 13 9 1 3 36:21 28
3 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
4 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
5 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
6 NAC Breda 13 7 3 3 25:20 24
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Jong PSV 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 13 4 1 8 19:22 13
16 Jong Ajax 13 3 4 6 19:30 13
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
19 Dordrecht 13 3 2 8 18:34 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)