Sport Picks
De Graafschap vs NAC Breda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Vijverberg, Doetinchem 
Match Events
18'
18'
Brym C.
40'
40'
Brym C.
Assist: Nassoh M.
44'
44'
Nassoh M.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie game between De Graafschap and NAC Breda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NAC Breda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- De Graafschap's 1.79 goals per match outpaces what NAC Breda have produced (1.41).
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | De Graafschap | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.34 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs NAC Breda
1:2
Feb 2, 2024 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs De Graafschap
0:0
Nov 3, 2023 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs NAC Breda
1:0
Feb 10, 2023 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs De Graafschap
2:0
Sep 9, 2022 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs NAC Breda
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
De Graafschap Compare
Top Goalscorer Kania J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
NAC Breda Compare
Top Goalscorer Brym C.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
De Graafschap 30 / 100
NAC Breda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
De Graafschap NAC Breda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Breda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: De Graafschap scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
NAC Breda let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Recent resilience: De Graafschap stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
De Graafschap VS NAC Breda
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
De Graafschap
(Home) 03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0 Den Bosch
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0 Den Bosch
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5 Jong AZ Alkmaar
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
Page 1 of 3
NAC Breda
(Away) 03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2 NAC Breda
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2 Eindhoven FC
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2 NAC Breda
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2 NAC Breda
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2 NAC Breda
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2 NAC Breda
07 Aug
TOP Oss
1 : 2 NAC Breda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Maastricht | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:22 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
