Sport Picks
De Graafschap vs Waalwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Vijverberg, Doetinchem 
AI Match Summary
De Graafschap host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. De Graafschap have averaged 1.81 scored and 2.19 conceded recently, against Waalwijk's 1.81 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor De Graafschap slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 2:4. xG projections (1.38 - 2.06) back De Graafschap to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- De Graafschap have won more games recently than Waalwijk.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on De Graafschap taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | De Graafschap | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 14 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: De Graafschap scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Waalwijk conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
De Graafschap has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
De Graafschap
(Home)Waalwijk
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 36:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Almere City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:9 | 22 |
| 3 | Venlo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 30:18 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Roda | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 7 | Vitesse | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Maastricht | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:25 | 16 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 20:16 | 15 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Den Bosch | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 14 | TOP Oss | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Eindhoven FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:25 | 11 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:27 | 11 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | 7 |
