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De Graafschap W vs Ajax W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

De Graafschap W host Ajax W in the Eredivisie Women. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: De Graafschap W at 1.82 goals for, 1.55 against; Ajax W at 2.16 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Ajax W slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.50, favoring Ajax W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
De Graafschap W
15%
Draws
57%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ajax W come out ahead of De Graafschap W on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Ajax W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
De Graafschap W Clean Sheet 16%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap W Ajax W
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 5 18
Draws 1 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.82 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs De Graafschap W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap W 10 / 100
Ajax W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap W Ajax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (11 games).

Ajax W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: De Graafschap W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap W VS Ajax W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap W

(Home)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
20 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 3
De Graafschap W
13 Sept
De Graafschap W
2 : 3
Den Haag W
06 Sept
Ajax W
1 : 0
De Graafschap W
Page 1 of 3

Ajax W

(Away)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)