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De Graafschap W vs AZ Alkmaar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Roddenhof S.
Assist: Jansen B.
46'
Sub
van Lunteren D. In: Vos D.
Out: van Lunteren D.
60'
Sub
Kroese F. In: Visser S.
Out: Kroese F.

AI Match Summary

De Graafschap W in this Eredivisie Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored De Graafschap W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
De Graafschap W
15%
Draws
42%
AZ Alkmaar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: De Graafschap W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • De Graafschap W haven't matched AZ Alkmaar W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans De Graafschap W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
De Graafschap W Clean Sheet 20%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap W AZ Alkmaar W
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.82 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Eredivisie Women
De Graafschap W vs AZ Alkmaar W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

De Graafschap W Compare

Top Goalscorer Roddenhof S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heijnsdijk T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap W 85 / 100
AZ Alkmaar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap W AZ Alkmaar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick De Graafschap W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: De Graafschap W scored in 82% of their last 11 outings.

Defensive concern: AZ Alkmaar W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

AZ Alkmaar W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap W VS AZ Alkmaar W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap W

(Home)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
20 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 3
De Graafschap W
13 Sept
De Graafschap W
2 : 3
Den Haag W
06 Sept
Ajax W
1 : 0
De Graafschap W
Page 1 of 3

AZ Alkmaar W

(Away)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)