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De Red vs Persipura Jayapura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion Kera Sakti, Tangerang
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Match Events

23'
Bajo I.
39'
Sub
Galih D. In: Sambodo P.
Out: Galih D.
40'
Sinim L.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between De Red and Persipura Jayapura finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persipura Jayapura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
De Red
20%
Draws
51%
Persipura Jayapura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Persipura Jayapura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Persipura Jayapura taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
De Red Clean Sheet 14%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Red Persipura Jayapura
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Championship
De Red vs Persipura Jayapura
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

De Red Compare

Top Goalscorer Supriadi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Top Goalscorer Sroyer J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uopmabin F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Red 11 / 100
Persipura Jayapura 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Red Persipura Jayapura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persipura Jayapura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: De Red scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: De Red stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Persipura Jayapura has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

De Red VS Persipura Jayapura
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

De Red

(Home)
03 Nov
De Red
0 : 2
PSM Makassar
31 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
0 : 2
De Red
25 Oct
Persela Lamongan
2 : 2
De Red
18 Oct
De Red
0 : 2
PS Barito Putera
11 Oct
Persis Solo
0 : 0
De Red
Page 1 of 6

Persipura Jayapura

(Away)
31 Oct
Persela Lamongan
3 : 1
Persipura Jayapura
23 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
5 : 1
Balikpapan
17 Oct
PSBS Biak Numfor
1 : 6
Persipura Jayapura
09 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 3
RANS Nusantara
02 Oct
De Red
1 : 3
Persipura Jayapura
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSPS Riau 8 6 1 1 16:9 19
2 PSMS Medan 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Persikad Depok 8 4 1 3 11:13 13
4 Semen Padang 8 4 2 2 9:6 13
5 PSIS Semarang 8 3 3 2 9:7 11
6 Sumsel United 8 3 2 3 13:11 10
7 Persiraja Aceh 8 3 1 4 11:10 9
8 Adhyaksa Bekasi 8 1 4 3 8:7 7
9 PSGC Ciamis 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Persiku Kudus 8 0 1 7 6:26 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 8 5 2 1 16:5 16
2 PS Barito Putera 8 5 1 2 16:9 16
3 Deltras Sidoarjo 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 8 4 4 0 16:4 15
5 RANS Nusantara 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
6 Persipura Jayapura 8 3 2 3 19:13 10
7 De Red 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
8 Persis Solo 8 1 4 3 14:12 7
9 Balikpapan 8 1 0 7 6:18 -1
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 8 0 0 8 3:41 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)