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Stadium Background

De Red vs Tornado Pekanbaru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion Kera Sakti, Tangerang
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Agung T.
46'
Sub
Lesmana R. In: Diaz A.
Out: Lesmana R.
58'
Alparedo G.

AI Match Summary

Tornado Pekanbaru in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tornado Pekanbaru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
De Red
35%
Draws
45%
Tornado Pekanbaru
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tornado Pekanbaru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Tornado Pekanbaru have won more games recently than De Red.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Tornado Pekanbaru taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
De Red Clean Sheet 10%
Tornado Pekanbaru Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Red Tornado Pekanbaru
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.1 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Championship
De Red vs Tornado Pekanbaru
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

De Red Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Tornado Pekanbaru Compare

Top Goalscorer Hajar I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Red 10 / 100
Tornado Pekanbaru 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Red Tornado Pekanbaru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tornado Pekanbaru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Red found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

De Red went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tornado Pekanbaru has conceded goals in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

De Red VS Tornado Pekanbaru
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

De Red

(Home)
03 Nov
De Red
0 : 2
PSM Makassar
31 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
0 : 2
De Red
25 Oct
Persela Lamongan
2 : 2
De Red
18 Oct
De Red
0 : 2
PS Barito Putera
11 Oct
Persis Solo
0 : 0
De Red
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Tornado Pekanbaru

(Away)
03 Nov
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 2
Persebaya
29 Oct
RANS Nusantara
0 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
24 Oct
Tornado Pekanbaru
2 : 2
Deltras Sidoarjo
16 Oct
Balikpapan
0 : 3
Tornado Pekanbaru
10 Oct
Tornado Pekanbaru
6 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSPS Riau 8 6 1 1 16:9 19
2 PSMS Medan 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Persikad Depok 8 4 1 3 11:13 13
4 Semen Padang 8 4 2 2 9:6 13
5 PSIS Semarang 8 3 3 2 9:7 11
6 Sumsel United 8 3 2 3 13:11 10
7 Persiraja Aceh 8 3 1 4 11:10 9
8 Adhyaksa Bekasi 8 1 4 3 8:7 7
9 PSGC Ciamis 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Persiku Kudus 8 0 1 7 6:26 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 8 5 2 1 16:5 16
2 PS Barito Putera 8 5 1 2 16:9 16
3 Deltras Sidoarjo 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 8 4 4 0 16:4 15
5 RANS Nusantara 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
6 Persipura Jayapura 8 3 2 3 19:13 10
7 De Red 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
8 Persis Solo 8 1 4 3 14:12 7
9 Balikpapan 8 1 0 7 6:18 -1
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 8 0 0 8 3:41 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)