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Debrecen II vs Hidasnemeti

Hungary Hungary

NB III - East 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Debrecen II enters this NB III - East 2021/2022 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Debrecen II averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Hidasnemeti shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Debrecen II, 0 wins for Hidasnemeti, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.04.22 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.60 for Debrecen II and 0.81 for Hidasnemeti, suggesting the primary value lies in the Debrecen II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Debrecen II
19%
Draws
21%
Hidasnemeti
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Debrecen II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Debrecen II picked up more points recently compared to Hidasnemeti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Debrecen II Clean Sheet 26%
Hidasnemeti Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Debrecen II Hidasnemeti
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.29 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

17.04.22 NB III - East
Debrecen II vs Hidasnemeti
3:0
17.10.21 NB III - East
Hidasnemeti vs Debrecen II
1:4

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Debrecen II

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Hidasnemeti

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Debrecen II Compare

Top Goalscorer Racz B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kalafat A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hidasnemeti Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Debrecen II 59 / 100
Hidasnemeti 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Debrecen II Hidasnemeti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Debrecen II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Debrecen II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Debrecen II is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Debrecen II 66%
Hidasnemeti 17%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Hidasnemeti will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Debrecen II's attacks.

Debrecen II 57%
Hidasnemeti 22%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Debrecen II to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Debrecen II 60%
Hidasnemeti 21%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Debrecen II vary their attacking width.

Debrecen II 63%
Hidasnemeti 20%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Hidasnemeti, allowing Debrecen II's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Debrecen II 54%
Hidasnemeti 23%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Debrecen II, while Hidasnemeti takes risks to salvage a result.

Debrecen II 69%
Hidasnemeti 24%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Debrecen II attacking → ← attacking Hidasnemeti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Debrecen II have found the net in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Hidasnemeti have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.

Debrecen II remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Hidasnemeti suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 26
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kazincbarcika383251106:24101
2Debreceni EAC38258593:3183
3BKV Elore382351064:4574
4Hajduszoboszloi382010874:3970
5Tiszaujvaros382161179:5469
6Kisvarda FC II381981167:4765
7Senyo381881266:5962
8Putnok VSE3816111166:4859
9Ujpest II381691367:5357
10Fuzesgyarmati3812151149:5351
11Bekescsaba 1912 II381481682:7550
12DVTK II381481673:7150
13Tiszafuredi381381757:6047
14Debrecen II381361963:6745
15Eger381352047:6644
16Jaszberenyi381052344:7135
17Salgotarjani BTC387102138:6531
18Hidasnemeti38762539:10927
19Tallya38562727:10721
20Torokszentmiklos38492536:9321