Sport Picks
Debrecen vs MTK Budapest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Hungary
NB I. Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen 
Match Events
19'
19'
Jurek G.
(Penalty)
19'
19'
Hinora K.
20'
20'
Mejias J.
AI Match Summary
The NB I. game between Debrecen and MTK Budapest finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Debrecen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Debrecen have managed 1.39 goals a game lately — MTK Budapest are scoring more at 1.72.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Debrecen taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Debrecen Clean Sheet 10%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Debrecen | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 NB I.
Debrecen vs MTK Budapest
2:2
Feb 27, 2026 NB I.
Debrecen vs MTK Budapest
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Debrecen
3:0
Aug 1, 2025 NB I.
Debrecen vs MTK Budapest
1:0
May 3, 2025 NB I.
Debrecen vs MTK Budapest
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Debrecen Compare
Top Goalscorer Denes C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dzsudzsak B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
MTK Budapest Compare
Top Goalscorer Jurek G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Debrecen 40 / 100
MTK Budapest 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Debrecen MTK Budapest
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Debrecen scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
MTK Budapest let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Debrecen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Debrecen VS MTK Budapest
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Debrecen
(Home) 19 Sept
Debrecen
2 : 4 Vasas
12 Sept
Godollo
2 : 3 Debrecen
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4 Debrecen
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2 MTK Budapest
23 Aug
Kisvarda FC
0 : 0 Debrecen
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Debrecen
2 : 4 Vasas
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2 MTK Budapest
16 Aug
Debrecen
1 : 1 Gyor
09 Aug
Debrecen
1 : 0 Nyiregyhaza
06 Aug
Debrecen
0 : 3 FC Copenhagen
Page 1 of 3
MTK Budapest
(Away) 20 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2 Gyor
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2 MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2 Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2 MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1 Nyiregyhaza
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2 MTK Budapest
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2 MTK Budapest
15 Aug
Ujpest
1 : 1 MTK Budapest
01 Aug
Honved
3 : 3 MTK Budapest
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3 MTK Budapest
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Gyor | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Vasas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 4 | Ujpest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Ferencvaros | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Paks | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 9 |
| 8 | Kisvarda FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Debrecen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 12 | Honved | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 6 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)
