Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Debrecen vs MTK Budapest

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Debrecen host MTK Budapest in the NB I.. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Debrecen at 1.31 goals for, 1.59 against; MTK Budapest at 1.79 for, 1.9 against. Past meetings favor Debrecen slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.75) back Debrecen to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Debrecen
30%
Draws
47%
MTK Budapest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Debrecen come out ahead of MTK Budapest on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on MTK Budapest taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Debrecen Clean Sheet 12%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Debrecen MTK Budapest
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 NB I.
Debrecen vs MTK Budapest
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Debrecen
3:0
Aug 1, 2025 NB I.
Debrecen vs MTK Budapest
1:0
May 3, 2025 NB I.
Debrecen vs MTK Budapest
0:0
Feb 7, 2025 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Debrecen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Debrecen 10 / 100
MTK Budapest 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Debrecen MTK Budapest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Debrecen scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

MTK Budapest let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Debrecen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Debrecen VS MTK Budapest
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Debrecen

(Home)
12 Aug
FC Copenhagen
5 : 1
Debrecen
09 Aug
Debrecen
1 : 0
Nyiregyhaza
06 Aug
Debrecen
0 : 3
FC Copenhagen
02 Aug
Ujpest
4 : 2
Debrecen
30 Jul
Pyunik Yerevan
0 : 0
Debrecen
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MTK Budapest

(Away)
07 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 3
Puskas Academy
01 Aug
Honved
3 : 3
MTK Budapest
27 Jul
MTK Budapest
3 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
18 Jul
MTK Budapest
1 : 1
Komarno
18 Jul
MTK Budapest
3 : 0
Kozarmisleny SE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasas 4 2 2 0 9:3 8
2 Ujpest 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Puskas Academy 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
4 Gyor 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
5 MTK Budapest 3 1 1 1 8:6 4
6 Kisvarda FC 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 Paks 3 1 1 1 8:9 4
8 Debrecen 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
9 Nyiregyhaza 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
10 Zalaegerszegi 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
11 Honved 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
12 Ferencvaros 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)