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Decic vs Mornar Bar

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Tusko, Tuzi
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Decic host Mornar Bar in the Prva Crnogorska Liga. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Decic at 1.1 goals for, 0.97 against; Mornar Bar at 1.32 for, 0.55 against. Head-to-head, Decic have won 1 to Mornar Bar's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 28, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.00 - 0.94) back Mornar Bar to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Decic
20%
Draws
40%
Mornar Bar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mornar Bar have won more games recently than Decic.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Decic taking it.
  • Regular Prva Crnogorska Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Decic Clean Sheet 20%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Decic Mornar Bar
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.1 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Montenegrin Cup
Decic vs Mornar Bar
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Decic
1:0
Feb 25, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Mornar Bar
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Decic
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Mornar Bar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Decic 36 / 100
Mornar Bar 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Decic Mornar Bar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Decic scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Decic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mornar Bar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Decic VS Mornar Bar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Decic

(Home)
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
09 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Petrovac
05 Sept
Mladost DG
2 : 0
Decic
30 Aug
Decic
2 : 1
Jezero
23 Aug
Otrant
0 : 3
Decic
Page 1 of 7

Mornar Bar

(Away)
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0
Bokelj
29 Aug
Petrovac
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
21 Aug
Mornar Bar
2 : 1
Buducnost
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Decic 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
2 Otrant 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
3 Mornar Bar 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
4 Bokelj 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
5 Sutjeska 8 3 2 3 9:7 11
6 Buducnost 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
7 Mladost DG 8 3 1 4 8:12 10
8 Jezero 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
9 Petrovac 8 1 5 2 6:5 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 8 1 4 3 5:9 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)