Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Decisao vs Santa Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos, Sertania
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Israel
32'
Wagner Balotelli
38'
Sub
Victor Ramon In: da Rocha Silva J.
Out: Victor Ramon

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Decisao
20%
Draws
51%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz have won more games recently than Decisao.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Santa Cruz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Cruz, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Santa Cruz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Decisao Clean Sheet 17%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Decisao Santa Cruz
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.15 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Pernambucano
Santa Cruz vs Decisao
1:0
Feb 5, 2026 Pernambucano
Decisao vs Santa Cruz
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Pernambucano
Santa Cruz vs Decisao
3:0
Jan 11, 2025 Pernambucano
Decisao vs Santa Cruz
1:1
Mar 15, 2020 Pernambucano
Santa Cruz vs Decisao
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Decisao Compare

Top Goalscorer Bezerra C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Israel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Vinicius
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Decisao 31 / 100
Santa Cruz 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Decisao Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Decisao found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Decisao stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Decisao VS Santa Cruz
0.83 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Decisao

(Home)
14 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 0
Decisao
06 Jun
Decisao
1 : 1
Treze PB
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2
Sergipe
24 May
Decisao
0 : 1
Serra Branca
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
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Santa Cruz

(Away)
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Maranhao
08 Aug
Botafogo PB
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
25 Jul
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Figueirense
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nautico -
TBD -
Santa Cruz 3
Decisao 1
Sport Recife -
TBD -
Retro 3
Maguary 2
Semi-finals
Nautico 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sport Recife 4
Retro 2
Final
Nautico 3
Sport Recife 6