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Dedza Dynamos vs Mighty Tigers

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
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Match Events

63' Event
Msowoya G.
73'
86' Event
Mpinganjira C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Dedza Dynamos
20%
Draws
10%
Mighty Tigers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dedza Dynamos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Mighty Tigers haven't matched Dedza Dynamos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dedza Dynamos a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Dedza Dynamos Clean Sheet 68%
Mighty Tigers Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dedza Dynamos Mighty Tigers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.81 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Mighty Tigers
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 Super League
Mighty Tigers vs Dedza Dynamos
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Mighty Tigers
3:0
May 12, 2024 Super League
Mighty Tigers vs Dedza Dynamos
1:1
Aug 19, 2023 Super League
Mighty Tigers vs Dedza Dynamos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dedza Dynamos Compare

Top Goalscorer Mpinganjira C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Mighty Tigers Compare

Top Goalscorer Msowoya G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dedza Dynamos 95 / 100
Mighty Tigers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dedza Dynamos Mighty Tigers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mighty Tigers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Dedza Dynamos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mighty Tigers lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dedza Dynamos VS Mighty Tigers
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dedza Dynamos

(Home)
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0
Big Bullets
19 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 2
Chitipa United
04 Jul
Karonga United
1 : 3
Dedza Dynamos
28 Jun
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
20 Jun
MAFCO
3 : 0
Dedza Dynamos
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Mighty Tigers

(Away)
31 Jan
Mighty Tigers
0 : 2
Big Bullets
27 Dec
Mighty Tigers
0 : 2
Ekhaya
24 Dec
Blue Eagles
1 : 0
Mighty Tigers
20 Dec
Mighty Tigers
0 : 0
Big Bullets
03 Dec
Chitipa United
3 : 2
Mighty Tigers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 20 9 1 51:14 69
2 Big Bullets 30 21 3 6 60:20 66
3 Silver Strikers 30 18 10 2 50:18 64
4 Blue Eagles 30 13 9 8 38:30 48
5 Civo Utd 30 13 8 9 39:21 47
6 Karonga United 30 13 5 12 31:28 44
7 Ekhaya 30 13 3 14 36:28 42
8 Creck Sporting 30 11 9 10 25:27 42
9 Moyale Barracks 30 10 10 10 28:40 40
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 11 6 13 31:35 39
11 Chitipa United 30 9 10 11 23:30 37
12 Dedza Dynamos 30 8 8 14 24:33 32
13 MAFCO 30 8 7 15 29:37 31
14 Mzuzu City 30 7 7 16 26:49 28
15 Mighty Tigers 30 6 9 15 21:35 27
16 Songwe Border 30 1 3 26 10:77 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)