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Defenders FC vs Blue Star Prediction & H2H Stats

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
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Match Events

30' Event
Izaz M.
56' Event
Izaz M.
61' Event
Aravinraj S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Defenders FC and Blue Star finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blue Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Defenders FC
15%
Draws
51%
Blue Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blue Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blue Star come out ahead of Defenders FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Blue Star's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Defenders FC Clean Sheet 10%
Blue Star Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defenders FC Blue Star
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.67
Goals Conceded 2 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Super League
Defenders FC vs Blue Star
1:2
Dec 30, 2021 Super League
Defenders FC vs Blue Star
1:3
Feb 13, 2019 Super League
Defenders FC vs Blue Star
3:1
Oct 28, 2017 Super League
Blue Star vs Defenders FC
2:1
Mar 4, 2017 Super League
Defenders FC vs Blue Star
7:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defenders FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aravinraj S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Blue Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Izaz M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defenders FC 14 / 100
Blue Star 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defenders FC Blue Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blue Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Defenders FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Blue Star has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defenders FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Defenders FC VS Blue Star
0.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Defenders FC

(Home)
11 Sept
Defenders FC
4 : 0
New Young's SC
05 Sept
Defenders FC
1 : 2
Blue Star
30 Aug
Red Star
5 : 1
Defenders FC
21 Aug
Defenders FC
4 : 1
Ratnam SC
17 Aug
Defenders FC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
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Blue Star

(Away)
14 Sept
Ratnam SC
1 : 3
Blue Star
05 Sept
Defenders FC
1 : 2
Blue Star
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
23 Aug
Blue Star
0 : 2
Colombo
18 Aug
New Young's SC
0 : 5
Blue Star
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