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Defenders FC vs Negombo Youth

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2018/2019 game between Defenders FC and Negombo Youth finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Defenders FC
6%
Draws
4%
Negombo Youth
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Defenders FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Defenders FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Defenders FC taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Defenders FC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Defenders FC Clean Sheet 17%
Negombo Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defenders FC Negombo Youth
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 Super League
Defenders FC vs Negombo Youth
2:2
Sep 3, 2017 Super League
Negombo Youth vs Defenders FC
1:8
Jul 27, 2016 Super League
Defenders FC vs Negombo Youth
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defenders FC 84 / 100
Negombo Youth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defenders FC Negombo Youth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Negombo Youth has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Defenders FC scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Defenders FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defenders FC VS Negombo Youth
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Defenders FC

(Home)
12 Jul
Colombo
0 : 0
Defenders FC
10 Jan
Defenders FC
6 : 1
New Young's SC
06 Jan
Red Star
0 : 0
Defenders FC
30 Dec
Defenders FC
1 : 3
Blue Star
15 Dec
Defenders FC
1 : 3
Colombo
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Negombo Youth

(Away)
13 Feb
Negombo Youth
2 : 8
Solid
02 Feb
Negombo Youth
0 : 6
Matara City
30 Jan
Crystal Palace
2 : 1
Negombo Youth
27 Jan
Defenders FC
2 : 2
Negombo Youth
19 Jan
Negombo Youth
0 : 1
Blue Eagles
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Defenders FC16104235:2534
2Colombo1695240:2032
3Blue Star16102423:1632
4Sea Hawks1693430:1930
5Renown1683529:2027
6Ratnam SC1683523:1927
7UP Country Lions1680830:2224
8Red Star1665531:2123
9Matara City1665525:2423
10Blue Eagles1665518:2023
11Solid1653836:3418
12New Young's SC1652922:2517
13Java Lane1645724:3217
14Pelicans SC1645719:3017
15Saunders16421022:3514
16Crystal Palace1634914:3113
17Negombo Youth16141118:467
18Super Sun00000:00
Promotion - AFC Cup 2019 (Qualification)