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Defensa y Justicia 2 vs Ferro 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Defensa y Justicia 2 Logo

Defensa y Justicia 2

2 - 1
FT
Ferro 2 Logo

Ferro 2

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Zubowicz M.
42' Event
Moreno J. P.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Moreno J. P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Defensa y Justicia 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensa y Justicia 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Defensa y Justicia 2
20%
Draws
10%
Ferro 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Defensa y Justicia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Defensa y Justicia 2 have won more games recently than Ferro 2.
  • Defensa y Justicia 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Defensa y Justicia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Ferro 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensa y Justicia 2 Ferro 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.9 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Reserve League
Defensa y Justicia 2 vs Ferro 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensa y Justicia 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno J. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ferro 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zubowicz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensa y Justicia 2 85 / 100
Ferro 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensa y Justicia 2 Ferro 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensa y Justicia 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensa y Justicia 2's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ferro 2 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Defensa y Justicia 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Defensa y Justicia 2 VS Ferro 2
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensa y Justicia 2

(Home)
29 Sept
Estudiantes L.P. 2
2 : 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
23 Sept
Defensa y Justicia 2
2 : 1
Tigre 2
15 Sept
Defensa y Justicia 2
2 : 3
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
09 Sept
San Martin S.J. 2
1 : 1
Defensa y Justicia 2
03 Sept
Defensa y Justicia 2
4 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Page 1 of 6

Ferro 2

(Away)
29 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
3 : 2
Ferro 2
22 Sept
Velez Sarsfield 2
4 : 0
Ferro 2
16 Sept
Ferro 2
1 : 1
Platense 2
08 Sept
Quilmes 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
02 Sept
Ferro 2
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)