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Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Defensa y Justicia Logo

Defensa y Justicia

0 - 4
FT
Boca Juniors Logo

Boca Juniors

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Gutierrez J.
22' Event
Gimenez M.
Assist: Velasco A.
40'
Soso M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Boca Juniors in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boca Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Defensa y Justicia
20%
Draws
45%
Boca Juniors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boca Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Boca Juniors lately — more wins on the board than Defensa y Justicia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 20%
Boca Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensa y Justicia Boca Juniors
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.21 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors
0:4
Sep 27, 2025 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors
2:1
Mar 16, 2025 Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia
4:0
Jul 21, 2024 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors
2:2
Feb 10, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensa y Justicia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.45

Boca Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velasco A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensa y Justicia 36 / 100
Boca Juniors 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensa y Justicia Boca Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Juniors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensa y Justicia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Boca Juniors conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Defensa y Justicia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Defensa y Justicia VS Boca Juniors
1.14 Goals Scored 1.75
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensa y Justicia

(Home)
18 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
31 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 0
Platense
23 Aug
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
1 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
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Boca Juniors

(Away)
27 Sept
Racing Club
2 : 3
Boca Juniors
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2
Boca Juniors
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Boca Juniors
12 Sept
Boca Juniors
3 : 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
09 Sept
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union de Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 16 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 11
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 16 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atl. Tucuman 16 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 5
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)