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Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Defensa y Justicia Logo

Defensa y Justicia

2 - 1
FT
Newells Old Boys Logo

Newells Old Boys

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Hausch A. In: Blanco D.
Out: Hausch A.
31'
Russo J.
32' Event
Roman F.
Assist: Perez C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Defensa y Justicia in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensa y Justicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Defensa y Justicia
35%
Draws
27%
Newells Old Boys
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Defensa y Justicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Defensa y Justicia have won more games recently than Newells Old Boys.
  • Win probability leans Defensa y Justicia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 68%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensa y Justicia Newells Old Boys
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.34 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia
2:3
Aug 17, 2025 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys
1:1
May 23, 2025 Copa Argentina
Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys
0:2
Feb 12, 2025 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensa y Justicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Roman F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Newells Old Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensa y Justicia 77 / 100
Newells Old Boys 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensa y Justicia Newells Old Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensa y Justicia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensa y Justicia scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Newells Old Boys let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Defensa y Justicia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Defensa y Justicia VS Newells Old Boys
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensa y Justicia

(Home)
10 Oct
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0
San Lorenzo
18 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
Page 1 of 6

Newells Old Boys

(Away)
03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0
Lanus
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Defensa y Justicia 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
3 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
4 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 12 4 2 6 15:13 14
10 Union de Santa Fe 12 4 1 7 17:21 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 12 2 4 6 10:16 10
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 12 5 4 3 11:10 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 12 5 3 4 10:9 18
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Banfield 12 3 4 5 14:18 13
12 Tigre 12 3 3 6 11:13 12
13 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)