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Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Defensa y Justicia Logo

Defensa y Justicia

3 - 0
FT
San Lorenzo Logo

San Lorenzo

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lucco J.
Assist: Porcel M.
24'
Sub
Roman F. In: Dominguez D.
Out: Roman F.
36'
Cuello A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Defensa y Justicia and San Lorenzo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensa y Justicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Defensa y Justicia
20%
Draws
23%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Defensa y Justicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Defensa y Justicia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Defensa y Justicia a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Defensa y Justicia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensa y Justicia San Lorenzo
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 13
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.28 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo
3:0
Mar 16, 2026 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia
2:5
Sep 22, 2024 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia
0:2
Nov 24, 2023 Copa Argentina
Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensa y Justicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucco J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

San Lorenzo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensa y Justicia 95 / 100
San Lorenzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensa y Justicia San Lorenzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensa y Justicia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensa y Justicia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Defensa y Justicia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

San Lorenzo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensa y Justicia VS San Lorenzo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensa y Justicia

(Home)
03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0
San Lorenzo
18 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
31 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 0
Platense
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San Lorenzo

(Away)
03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0
San Lorenzo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2
Boca Juniors
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0
Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Defensa y Justicia 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
3 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
4 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 12 4 2 6 15:13 14
10 Union de Santa Fe 12 4 1 7 17:21 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 12 2 4 6 10:16 10
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 12 5 4 3 11:10 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 12 5 3 4 10:9 18
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Banfield 12 3 4 5 14:18 13
12 Tigre 12 3 3 6 11:13 12
13 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)