Sport Picks
Defensor Sp. vs CA Cerro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo 
AI Match Summary
Defensor Sp. host CA Cerro in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Little to choose between these two on current form. CA Cerro have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Defensor Sp. have conceded 1.23 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Defensor Sp. have won 3 to CA Cerro's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward CA Cerro. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Defensor Sp. haven't matched CA Cerro's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Defensor Sp.'s way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensor Sp. | CA Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensor Sp.'s goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
CA Cerro let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
CA Cerro lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Defensor Sp.
(Home)CA Cerro
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 4 | Penarol | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Juventud | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Racing Montevideo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Defensor Sp. | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Central Esp. | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Albion | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:18 | 3 |
