Sport Picks
Defensor Sp. vs Juventud
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo 
Match Events
13'
13'
Cruz A.
15'
15'
Frugone A.
21'
21'
Sub
Castro F. In: Torterolo A.
Out: Castro F.
AI Match Summary
Juventud in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juventud.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Juventud lately — more wins on the board than Defensor Sp..
- Model gives Defensor Sp. a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 19%
Juventud Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensor Sp. | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Juventud
1:2
Sep 5, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Juventud
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Defensor Sp.
2:1
Nov 2, 2021 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Defensor Sp.
3:3
Jul 21, 2021 Segunda Division
Defensor Sp. vs Juventud
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensor Sp. Compare
Top Goalscorer Agazzi L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Juventud Compare
Top Goalscorer Cruz A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Peralta R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensor Sp. 42 / 100
Juventud 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensor Sp. Juventud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Juventud has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Defensor Sp. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Defensor Sp. scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Defensor Sp. VS Juventud
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensor Sp.
(Home) 13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Maldonado
09 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
06 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
29 Aug
Defensor Sp.
1 : 3 Montevideo City
25 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 0 Rentistas
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Maldonado
29 Aug
Defensor Sp.
1 : 3 Montevideo City
25 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 0 Rentistas
16 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 4 Liverpool M.
09 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1 Wanderers
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Juventud
(Away) 13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2 Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0 Juventud
29 Aug
Juventud
2 : 0 Maldonado
26 Aug
Juventud
1 : 0 Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2 Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0 Juventud
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Juventud
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Juventud
01 Aug
Maldonado
0 : 0 Juventud
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
