Sport Picks

Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor Sp.

1 - 2

Juventud

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Cruz A.

15'

Frugone A.

21'

Sub

Castro F. In: Torterolo A.

Out: Castro F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Juventud in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Defensor Sp.

28%

Draws

22%

Juventud

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Defensor Sp.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Juventud lately — more wins on the board than Defensor Sp..
Model gives Defensor Sp. a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%

Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 68%

Juventud Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Defensor Sp.	Juventud
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	7	10
Draws	11	9
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.63	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Defensor Sp. vs Juventud

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Sep 5, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Defensor Sp. vs Juventud

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Mar 16, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Juventud vs Defensor Sp.

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Nov 2, 2021 Segunda Division

Juventud vs Defensor Sp.

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

3:3

Jul 21, 2021 Segunda Division

Defensor Sp. vs Juventud

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensor Sp. Compare

Top Goalscorer Agazzi L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Peralta R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor Sp. 59 / 100

Juventud 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Defensor Sp. Juventud

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Defensor Sp. scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Juventud let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Defensor Sp. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Defensor Sp. VS Juventud

0.63 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing Montevideo	15	9	4	2	23:14	31
2	Maldonado	15	9	2	4	24:16	29
3	Albion	15	8	4	3	26:16	28
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23:16	27
5	Central Esp.	15	7	3	5	23:22	24
6	Montevideo City	15	6	5	4	22:16	23
7	Club Nacional	15	7	1	7	26:21	22
8	Defensor Sp.	15	5	6	4	13:11	21
9	Liverpool M.	15	5	5	5	20:18	20
10	Wanderers	15	6	2	7	16:21	20
11	Danubio	15	4	6	5	17:21	18
12	Cerro Largo	15	5	2	8	16:19	17
13	Boston River	15	5	2	8	14:20	17
14	Juventud	15	4	3	8	17:22	15
15	Progreso	15	2	4	9	12:23	10
16	CA Cerro	15	2	4	9	8:24	10