Sport Picks
Defensor Sp. vs Liverpool M.
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini 
AI Match Summary
Defensor Sp. host Liverpool M. in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Defensor Sp. at 0.75 goals for, 1.13 against; Liverpool M. at 0.88 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Defensor Sp. have won 3 to Liverpool M.'s 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.81 - 1.00) back Defensor Sp. to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Defensor Sp. come out ahead of Liverpool M. on wins alone.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensor Sp. | Liverpool M. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Defensor Sp. scored in 61% of their last 33 outings.
Defensive concern: Liverpool M. conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Defensor Sp. remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Central Esp. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Boston River | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 7 | Liverpool M. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Albion | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Juventud | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 7 | Danubio | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 8 | Progreso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |