Sport Picks

Defensor Sp. vs Plaza Colonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Defensor Sp.

0 - 1

Plaza Colonia

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Vergara H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Defensor Sp.

20%

Draws

36%

Plaza Colonia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Defensor Sp.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Defensor Sp. haven't matched Plaza Colonia's recent run of results.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Plaza Colonia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Plaza Colonia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 32%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 20%

Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Defensor Sp.	Plaza Colonia
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	6	13
Draws	11	7
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	0.86	1.28
Goals Conceded	1.24	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Defensor Sp. vs Plaza Colonia

0:1

Aug 23, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Defensor Sp. vs Plaza Colonia

1:0

Jun 28, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Defensor Sp. vs Plaza Colonia

1:1

Feb 23, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sp.

1:2

Feb 29, 2024 Copa Uruguay

Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sp.

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensor Sp. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Vergara H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor Sp. 32 / 100

Plaza Colonia 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Defensor Sp. Plaza Colonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensor Sp. scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Plaza Colonia has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Defensor Sp. stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensor Sp. VS Plaza Colonia

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor Sp.

(Home)

03 Oct

Albion

3 : 2

Defensor Sp.

30 Sept

Defensor Sp.

0 : 1

Plaza Colonia

27 Sept

Defensor Sp.

1 : 0

Danubio

20 Sept

Club Nacional

3 : 2

Defensor Sp.

13 Sept

Defensor Sp.

1 : 0

Maldonado

Page 1 of 6

Plaza Colonia

(Away)

07 Oct

Plaza Colonia

0 : 1

Juventud

04 Oct

Plaza Colonia

1 : 3

Cerrito

30 Sept

Defensor Sp.

0 : 1

Plaza Colonia

27 Sept

Atenas

0 : 0

Plaza Colonia

19 Sept

Plaza Colonia

1 : 1

Paysandu FC

Page 1 of 6