Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Salomon Boeseldin, Villa Ram
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Roige E.
45'
Benitez B.
49'
Sub
Rodriguez L. In: Aman Campos F.
Out: Rodriguez L.

AI Match Summary

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
17%
Draws
13%
Independiente Chivilcoy
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo lately — more wins on the board than Independiente Chivilcoy.
  • Win probability leans Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Independiente Chivilcoy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Independiente Chivilcoy
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:1
May 31, 2025 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Independiente Chivilcoy
0:0
Jun 30, 2024 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare

Top Goalscorer Roige E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olego M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Independiente Chivilcoy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 77 / 100
Independiente Chivilcoy 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Independiente Chivilcoy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Independiente Chivilcoy conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Independiente Chivilcoy registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo VS Independiente Chivilcoy
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

(Home)
13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
05 Jul
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 1
Atletico Escobar
27 Jun
Sportivo Las Parejas
1 : 1
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
21 Jun
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
15 Jun
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6

Independiente Chivilcoy

(Away)
12 Jul
El Linqueno
2 : 1
Independiente Chivilcoy
05 Jul
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1
Independiente Chivilcoy
28 Jun
Independiente Chivilcoy
0 : 4
Douglas Haig
21 Jun
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
14 Jun
Independiente Chivilcoy
0 : 0
Gimnasia E.R.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)