Sport Picks
Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Juan Pasquale, Belgrano 
Match Events
10'
10'
Gutierrez A.
32'
32'
Gutierrez I.
34'
34'
Gonzalez E.
Assist: Aguirre E.
AI Match Summary
Defensores de Belgrano in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensores de Belgrano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Madryn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Defensores de Belgrano haven't matched Deportivo Madryn's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Deportivo Madryn's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Defensores de Belgrano Clean Sheet 17%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensores de Belgrano | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Defensores de Belgrano
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Defensores de Belgrano
0:0
Apr 15, 2024 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn
2:3
Mar 5, 2022 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensores de Belgrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Deportivo Madryn Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensores de Belgrano 28 / 100
Deportivo Madryn 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensores de Belgrano Deportivo Madryn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Madryn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Madryn let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Defensores de Belgrano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Defensores de Belgrano scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Defensores de Belgrano VS Deportivo Madryn
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensores de Belgrano
(Home) 04 Oct
Chaco For Ever
2 : 2 Defensores de Belgrano
27 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 1 Ferro
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
09 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
1 : 1 Los Andes
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 1 Ferro
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
09 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
1 : 1 Los Andes
04 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
3 : 0 Racing Cordoba
22 Aug
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 2 Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Madryn
(Away) 02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0 Central Norte
20 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 0 Racing Cordoba
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1 Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
30 Aug
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
16 Aug
San Martin T.
2 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
08 Aug
CA Estudiantes
0 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:21 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 32:15 | 59 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 38:26 | 51 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:31 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 32:31 | 47 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35:32 | 43 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 27:34 | 42 |
| 12 | Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 30:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 27:35 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23:30 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27:32 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 25:35 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
