Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Juan Pasquale, Belgrano
Defensores de Belgrano Logo

Defensores de Belgrano

1 - 0
FT
San Telmo Logo

San Telmo

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Gamarra R.
25'
Uriburu R.
34'
Britez E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Defensores de Belgrano and San Telmo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores de Belgrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Defensores de Belgrano
20%
Draws
33%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Defensores de Belgrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Defensores de Belgrano come out ahead of San Telmo on wins alone.
  • Defensores de Belgrano are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Defensores de Belgrano Clean Sheet 68%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores de Belgrano San Telmo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.76 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo
1:0
Jul 31, 2025 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Defensores de Belgrano
0:3
Aug 18, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Defensores de Belgrano
1:2
Apr 1, 2024 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Belgrano 86 / 100
San Telmo 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores de Belgrano San Telmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores de Belgrano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Telmo let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Defensores de Belgrano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensores de Belgrano found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Defensores de Belgrano VS San Telmo
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores de Belgrano

(Home)
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1
Defensores de Belgrano
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1
Deportivo Madryn
09 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
1 : 1
Los Andes
04 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
3 : 0
Racing Cordoba
29 Aug
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0
Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 6

San Telmo

(Away)
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1
San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0
Los Andes
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0
San Telmo
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2
San Telmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 30 16 7 7 48:29 55
3 Godoy Cruz 30 15 7 8 38:26 52
4 Deportivo Madryn 30 13 10 7 44:28 49
5 Colon Santa Fe 30 13 9 8 38:25 48
6 Almirante Brown 30 12 10 8 23:17 46
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 30 8 13 9 22:20 37
10 Chaco For Ever 30 9 9 12 27:29 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 30 8 12 10 23:26 36
12 Racing Cordoba 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 30 6 13 11 19:28 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 30 14 12 4 31:15 54
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 30 15 8 7 45:36 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 30 15 4 11 34:28 49
5 Midland 30 13 8 9 34:25 47
6 San Martin S.J. 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 12 9 9 31:27 45
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 30 11 8 11 37:31 41
10 Colegiales 30 11 7 12 29:30 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Agropecuario 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
13 Quilmes 30 9 8 13 28:27 35
14 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
15 Nueva Chicago 30 8 9 13 22:29 33
16 Patronato 30 5 16 9 24:31 31
17 Chacarita Juniors 30 8 6 16 22:31 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 30 5 8 17 23:51 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)