Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Juan Pasquale, Belgrano

Defensores de Belgrano

1 - 0

San Telmo

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Gamarra R.

25'

Uriburu R.

34'

Britez E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Defensores de Belgrano and San Telmo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores de Belgrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Defensores de Belgrano

44%

Draws

20%

San Telmo

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Defensores de Belgrano come out ahead of San Telmo on wins alone.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 38%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Defensores de Belgrano Clean Sheet 27%

San Telmo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Defensores de Belgrano	San Telmo
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	7
Draws	10	8
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	0.5	0.5
Goals Conceded	1	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Primera Nacional

Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo

1:0

Jul 31, 2025 Primera Nacional

Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo

1:2

Feb 23, 2025 Primera Nacional

San Telmo vs Defensores de Belgrano

0:3

Aug 18, 2024 Primera Nacional

San Telmo vs Defensores de Belgrano

1:2

Apr 1, 2024 Primera Nacional

Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Belgrano 38 / 100

San Telmo 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Defensores de Belgrano San Telmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensores de Belgrano scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

San Telmo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Defensores de Belgrano remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Defensores de Belgrano VS San Telmo

0.5 Goals Scored 0.5

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores de Belgrano

(Home)

12 Jul

Godoy Cruz

1 : 0

Defensores de Belgrano

04 Jul

Defensores de Belgrano

2 : 1

Deportivo Moron

21 Jun

Defensores de Belgrano

0 : 1

All Boys

13 Jun

Defensores de Belgrano

0 : 3

Colon Santa Fe

06 Jun

San Miguel

0 : 0

Defensores de Belgrano

Page 1 of 6

San Telmo

(Away)

11 Jul

San Telmo

1 : 3

Chaco For Ever

05 Jul

Ferro

2 : 1

San Telmo

20 Jun

San Telmo

2 : 0

Racing Cordoba

14 Jun

Central Norte

0 : 0

San Telmo

07 Jun

San Telmo

0 : 0

Deportivo Madryn

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19:16	31
6	CA Estudiantes	21	8	7	6	18:16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Temperley	21	8	10	3	21:17	34
4	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	21	7	9	5	19:15	30
7	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
8	Atl. Rafaela	21	7	6	8	15:18	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	20	6	8	6	18:18	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)