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Defensores de Glew vs Uribelarrea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
1 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Defensores de Glew
35%
Draws
27%
Uribelarrea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Defensores de Glew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Defensores de Glew have won more games recently than Uribelarrea.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Defensores de Glew have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Defensores de Glew Clean Sheet 68%
Uribelarrea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores de Glew Uribelarrea
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 18 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.37 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Uribelarrea
1:1
Sep 30, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Uribelarrea vs Defensores de Glew
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Glew 41 / 100
Uribelarrea 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores de Glew Uribelarrea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores de Glew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensores de Glew's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensores de Glew has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Uribelarrea has conceded goals in 50% of their last 20 outings.

Scoring Trends

Defensores de Glew VS Uribelarrea
3.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores de Glew

(Home)
04 Oct
Defensores de Glew
1 : 1
Uribelarrea
30 Sept
Uribelarrea
0 : 1
Defensores de Glew
19 Sept
Defensores de Glew
1 : 1
Buenos Aires City
14 Sept
Buenos Aires City
0 : 3
Defensores de Glew
07 Sept
Defensores de Glew
3 : 1
Nautico Hacoaj
Page 1 of 6

Uribelarrea

(Away)
04 Oct
Defensores de Glew
1 : 1
Uribelarrea
30 Sept
Uribelarrea
0 : 1
Defensores de Glew
22 Sept
Uribelarrea
5 : 0
Nautico Hacoaj
15 Sept
Nautico Hacoaj
2 : 2
Uribelarrea
07 Sept
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 2
Uribelarrea
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Social Atletico Television -
TBD -
Deportivo Metalurgico 6
Ezeiza 1
Defensores de Glew 4
Buenos Aires City 1
Uribelarrea 7
Nautico Hacoaj 2
Semi-finals
Social Atletico Television 4
Deportivo Metalurgico 3
Defensores de Glew 2
Uribelarrea 1
Final
Social Atletico Television -
Defensores de Glew -