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Defensores de Vilelas vs Sarmiento de La Banda Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio del Club Defensores De Vilelas, Puerto Vilelas
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Guzman G.
Penalty Missed
45'
Sanchez Arriola M.
45' Event
Rios G.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Defensores de Vilelas and Sarmiento de La Banda finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores de Vilelas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Defensores de Vilelas
20%
Draws
30%
Sarmiento de La Banda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Defensores de Vilelas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Defensores de Vilelas's 1.46 goals per match outpaces what Sarmiento de La Banda have produced (0.87).
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Defensores de Vilelas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores de Vilelas Sarmiento de La Banda
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.46 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3:0
May 3, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Defensores de Vilelas
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores de Vilelas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rios G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Canete G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sarmiento de La Banda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Vilelas 95 / 100
Sarmiento de La Banda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores de Vilelas Sarmiento de La Banda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores de Vilelas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Defensores de Vilelas scored in 67% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensores de Vilelas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sarmiento de La Banda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensores de Vilelas VS Sarmiento de La Banda
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores de Vilelas

(Home)
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3
Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1
Defensores de Vilelas
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0
El Linqueno
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0
Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 5

Sarmiento de La Banda

(Away)
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4
9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)