Sport Picks
Defensores de Vilelas vs Sarmiento Resistencia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Juan Alberto Garcia, Resistencia 
Match Events
9'
9'
Dominguez F.
16'
16'
Ibanez M.
36'
36'
Carballo G.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Defensores de Vilelas and Sarmiento Resistencia finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores de Vilelas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores de Vilelas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Defensores de Vilelas come out ahead of Sarmiento Resistencia on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Defensores de Vilelas taking it.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Resistencia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensores de Vilelas | Sarmiento Resistencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Sarmiento Resistencia
4:1
Jun 14, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Defensores de Vilelas
2:0
Apr 13, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensores de Vilelas Compare
Top Goalscorer Carballo G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Canete G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Sarmiento Resistencia Compare
Top Goalscorer Ibanez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensores de Vilelas 95 / 100
Sarmiento Resistencia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensores de Vilelas Sarmiento Resistencia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensores de Vilelas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarmiento Resistencia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Defensores de Vilelas scored in 68% of their last 25 games.
Defensores de Vilelas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Defensores de Vilelas VS Sarmiento Resistencia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensores de Vilelas
(Home) 10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3 Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1 Defensores de Vilelas
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0 El Linqueno
Page 1 of 5
10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0 El Linqueno
12 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
4 : 3 Tucuman Central
03 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
4 : 1 Sarmiento Resistencia
Page 1 of 3
Sarmiento Resistencia
(Away) 19 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 3 El Linqueno
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
05 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 0 Tucuman Central
30 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
16 Aug
Sarmiento Resistencia
0 : 3 Boca Unidos
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
30 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
12 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 2 Sarmiento Resistencia
03 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
4 : 1 Sarmiento Resistencia
05 Jul
Boca Unidos
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia E.R. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | El Linqueno | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores de Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Brava | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 2 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Fundacion Amigos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Germinal | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 10 | Santamarina | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
