Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal

Tucuman Central

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Defensores de Vilelas play Tucuman Central in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Defensores de Vilelas averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Tucuman Central averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Defensores de Vilelas won 1, Tucuman Central won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Defensores de Vilelas and 1.25 for Tucuman Central. This points to a Defensores de Vilelas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Defensores de Vilelas

15%

Draws

39%

Tucuman Central

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensores de Vilelas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Defensores de Vilelas picked up more points recently compared to Tucuman Central.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 19%

Tucuman Central Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Defensores de Vilelas	Tucuman Central
Matches Played	15	14
Wins	6	5
Draws	1	1
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.4	0.86
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal

Tucuman Central vs Defensores de Vilelas

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 4 - 4

2:0

Mar 28, 2026 Torneo Federal

Defensores de Vilelas vs Tucuman Central

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores de Vilelas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rios G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Tucuman Central Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Vilelas 45 / 100

Tucuman Central 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Defensores de Vilelas Tucuman Central

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Defensores de Vilelas or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Defensores de Vilelas attacking → ← attacking Tucuman Central

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensores de Vilelas scored in 73% of their last 15 games.

Tucuman Central let in goals in 64% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Defensores de Vilelas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tucuman Central lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 16

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	16	8	4	4	19:12	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
8	Atletico Escobar	16	5	3	8	17:26	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	15	6	4	5	18:15	22
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	14	3	7	4	10:9	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	15	7	5	3	19:7	26
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	14	2	6	6	9:15	12
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9