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Degerfors vs Hammarby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Stora Valla, Degerfors
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Persson N.
46' Event
Abraham P.
59'
Sub
Faqa A. In: Diatara S.
Out: Faqa A.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Degerfors and Hammarby finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Degerfors
15%
Draws
78%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Hammarby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hammarby a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 15%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Degerfors Hammarby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Hammarby
0:1
Jul 19, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Degerfors
4:0
Nov 3, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Hammarby
1:1
May 26, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Degerfors
1:0
May 25, 2023 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Hammarby
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Degerfors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Abraham P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Degerfors 10 / 100
Hammarby 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Degerfors Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Degerfors's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hammarby has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Degerfors remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Degerfors VS Hammarby
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Degerfors

(Home)
01 Nov
Djurgarden
2 : 1
Degerfors
28 Oct
Degerfors
0 : 3
Vasteras SK
24 Oct
Hacken
4 : 0
Degerfors
19 Oct
Degerfors
1 : 2
Kalmar
10 Oct
Mjallby
1 : 1
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

Hammarby

(Away)
01 Nov
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Hammarby
29 Oct
Hammarby
2 : 0
Sirius
25 Oct
Mjallby
0 : 2
Hammarby
18 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 1
Hammarby
11 Oct
Hammarby
0 : 1
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)