Sport Picks

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Degerfors vs Hammarby

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Stora Valla, Degerfors
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Degerfors host Hammarby in the Allsvenskan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Degerfors have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Hammarby's 2.13 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Degerfors have won 0 to Hammarby's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.50, favoring Hammarby. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Degerfors
15%
Draws
53%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Hammarby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hammarby a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 16%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Degerfors Hammarby
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.21 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Degerfors
4:0
Nov 3, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Hammarby
1:1
May 26, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Degerfors
1:0
May 25, 2023 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Hammarby
2:2
Apr 2, 2023 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Degerfors
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Degerfors 23 / 100
Hammarby 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Degerfors Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:9
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Degerfors scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Hammarby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Degerfors remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Degerfors VS Hammarby
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Degerfors

(Home)
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
Brommapojkarna
2 : 0
Degerfors
19 Aug
IFK Ostersund
1 : 5
Degerfors
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Hammarby

(Away)
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
26 Aug
FC Stockholm Internazionale
0 : 3
Hammarby
23 Aug
Hammarby
2 : 0
GAIS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 21 15 3 3 50:27 48
2 Djurgarden 21 13 2 6 46:19 41
3 Hammarby 21 12 4 5 48:20 40
4 Elfsborg 21 9 7 5 29:21 34
5 Malmo FF 21 10 3 8 37:31 33
6 Hacken 21 8 9 4 34:30 33
7 AIK 21 9 6 6 30:32 33
8 Vasteras SK 21 9 5 7 32:35 32
9 IFK Goteborg 21 8 5 8 30:41 29
10 GAIS 21 7 6 8 25:20 27
11 Brommapojkarna 21 7 6 8 30:35 27
12 Mjallby 21 5 7 9 27:35 22
13 Kalmar 21 5 4 12 21:31 19
14 Degerfors 21 5 4 12 19:33 19
15 Orgryte 21 3 6 12 24:47 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 14:39 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)