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Degerfors vs Kalmar Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Stora Valla, Degerfors
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Degerfors host Kalmar in the Allsvenskan. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Degerfors have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Kalmar's 1.45 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Degerfors have won 1 to Kalmar's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.19) point toward Kalmar. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Degerfors
15%
Draws
21%
Kalmar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Degerfors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Kalmar have won more games recently than Degerfors.
  • Model gives Degerfors a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kalmar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 20%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Degerfors Kalmar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.18 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Degerfors
2:1
Oct 21, 2023 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Kalmar
1:3
Jun 10, 2023 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Degerfors
2:1
Jul 30, 2022 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Kalmar
2:1
Apr 17, 2022 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Degerfors
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Degerfors 49 / 100
Kalmar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Degerfors Kalmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Degerfors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Degerfors found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Kalmar conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Kalmar registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Degerfors VS Kalmar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Degerfors

(Home)
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
Brommapojkarna
2 : 0
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

Kalmar

(Away)
20 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 5
Hacken
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
29 Aug
Halmstad
1 : 0
Kalmar
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)