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Degerfors vs Malmo FF

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Stora Valla, Degerfors
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Busuladzic K.
40'
Rosengren O.
52' Event
Botheim E.
Assist: Busuladzic K.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Degerfors and Malmo FF finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malmo FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Degerfors
39%
Draws
30%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malmo FF come out ahead of Degerfors on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Malmo FF have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 10%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Degerfors Malmo FF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Malmo FF
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Degerfors
1:1
May 11, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Malmo FF
1:4
Sep 23, 2023 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Malmo FF
1:2
Jun 5, 2023 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Degerfors
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Degerfors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Botheim E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Degerfors 30 / 100
Malmo FF 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Degerfors Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Degerfors scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Malmo FF let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Degerfors remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Degerfors VS Malmo FF
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Degerfors

(Home)
25 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Djurgarden
19 Jul
Hammarby
4 : 0
Degerfors
12 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Degerfors
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

Malmo FF

(Away)
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Malmo FF
4 : 0
IFK Goteborg
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Malmo FF
2 : 2
Midtjylland
30 May
Malmo FF
5 : 2
Halmstad
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius13112036:1635
2Hammarby1482432:1426
3Djurgarden1372427:1523
4Hacken1365227:2223
5Vasteras SK1464424:2322
6AIK1363418:1821
7Malmo FF1362527:2220
8GAIS1454518:1419
9Elfsborg1446418:1718
10Mjallby1445520:1917
11Kalmar1452718:2017
12Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1424812:2410
15Orgryte1424814:3310
16Halmstad1313910:286
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)