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Dejan vs Persipura Jayapura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion Kera Sakti, Tangerang
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Bajo I.
39'
Sub
Galih D. In: Sambodo P.
Out: Galih D.
40'
Sinim L.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Dejan and Persipura Jayapura finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persipura Jayapura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dejan
30%
Draws
39%
Persipura Jayapura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Persipura Jayapura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Dejan Clean Sheet 14%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dejan Persipura Jayapura
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Championship
Dejan vs Persipura Jayapura
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dejan Compare

Top Goalscorer Supriadi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Top Goalscorer Sroyer J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uopmabin F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dejan 35 / 100
Persipura Jayapura 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dejan Persipura Jayapura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persipura Jayapura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Dejan scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Persipura Jayapura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 33 matches.

Dejan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dejan VS Persipura Jayapura
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.88
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dejan

(Home)
02 Oct
Dejan
1 : 3
Persipura Jayapura
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Dejan
19 Sept
Dejan
3 : 3
RANS Nusantara
12 Sept
Dejan
0 : 1
Tornado Pekanbaru
15 Feb
Isenmulang Kalteng
1 : 0
Dejan
Page 1 of 6

Persipura Jayapura

(Away)
09 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 3
RANS Nusantara
02 Oct
Dejan
1 : 3
Persipura Jayapura
26 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 1
Persis Solo
18 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Sept
PS Barito Putera
3 : 2
Persipura Jayapura
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 4 3 1 0 13:2 10
2 PSIS Semarang 5 3 1 1 8:5 9
3 Persikad Depok 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
4 PSPS Riau 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
5 Semen Padang 4 2 1 1 4:2 6
6 PSGC Ciamis 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
7 Sumsel United 5 2 1 2 10:8 6
8 Bekasi City 5 1 1 3 6:5 4
9 Persiraja Aceh 5 1 0 4 6:8 2
10 Persiku Kudus 5 0 1 4 3:17 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deltras Sidoarjo 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Persela Lamongan 4 4 0 0 10:0 11
3 Tornado Pekanbaru 5 3 2 0 11:2 10
4 RANS Nusantara 5 3 1 1 15:9 10
5 PS Barito Putera 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
6 Persipura Jayapura 5 1 2 2 7:8 4
7 Persis Solo 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
8 Dejan 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
9 Balikpapan 5 0 0 5 2:9 -4
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 5 0 0 5 1:29 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)