Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dekedda vs Elman

Somalia Somalia

National league
Dekedda Logo

Dekedda

1 - 2
FT
Elman Logo

Elman

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elman in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Dekedda
15%
Draws
27%
Elman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Dekedda have won more games recently than Elman.
  • Model gives Dekedda a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 19%
Elman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dekedda Elman
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.09 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Elman
1:2
May 15, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Elman
1:3
Jan 31, 2025 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
2:2
Jun 22, 2024 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dekedda 85 / 100
Elman 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dekedda Elman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dekedda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Dekedda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dekedda found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Elman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dekedda VS Elman
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dekedda

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
Page 1 of 7

Elman

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)