Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dekedda vs Elman

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elman in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dekedda
6%
Draws
4%
Elman
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dekedda have won more games recently than Elman.
  • Model gives Dekedda a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 19%
Elman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dekedda Elman
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Elman
1:2
May 15, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Elman
1:3
Jan 31, 2025 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
2:2
Jun 22, 2024 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dekedda 85 / 100
Elman 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dekedda Elman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dekedda found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Dekedda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Elman has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dekedda VS Elman
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dekedda

(Home)
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
06 Jul
Raadsan
3 : 6
Dekedda
30 Jun
Dekedda
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

Elman

(Away)
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
04 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
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