Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Delfin vs Emelec

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ushina K.
Assist: Heredia G.
43'
Bedoya A.
45'
Ozaeta T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Delfin
20%
Draws
46%
Emelec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Emelec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Emelec lately — more wins on the board than Delfin.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Delfin Clean Sheet 20%
Emelec Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin Emelec
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.66 0.82
Goals Conceded 1 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Emelec
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Delfin
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Emelec
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Delfin
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Delfin
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ushina K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Emelec Compare

Top Goalscorer Mina A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 32 / 100
Emelec 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin Emelec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Emelec conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Delfin scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Delfin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS Emelec
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0
Delfin
23 Aug
Delfin
0 : 1
Aucas
20 Aug
Juventud Italiana
0 : 1
Delfin
Page 1 of 6

Emelec

(Away)
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1
Emelec
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1
Leones del Norte
24 Aug
LDU Quito
2 : 0
Emelec
16 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1
Tecnico U.
10 Aug
Guayaquil City
0 : 0
Emelec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 29 23 2 4 70:31 71
2 Aucas 29 14 7 8 33:28 49
3 U. Catolica 29 13 9 7 49:26 48
4 Macara 29 14 6 9 40:33 48
5 LDU Quito 29 13 6 10 30:23 45
6 Barcelona SC 29 11 10 8 31:24 43
7 Libertad 29 11 8 10 31:31 41
8 Leones del Norte 29 10 9 10 31:31 39
9 Emelec 29 10 9 10 25:33 39
10 Mushuc Runa 29 9 11 9 34:35 38
11 Guayaquil City 29 9 9 11 30:35 36
12 Dep. Cuenca 29 10 5 14 24:36 35
13 Orense 29 9 6 14 35:45 33
14 Tecnico U. 29 9 2 18 27:42 29
15 Delfin 29 7 6 16 18:30 27
16 Manta 29 5 5 19 17:42 20
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)