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Delfin vs Mushuc Runa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Delfin Logo

Delfin

Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Mushuc Runa Logo

Mushuc Runa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Delfin host Mushuc Runa in the Liga Pro. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Delfin have averaged 0.76 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Mushuc Runa's 1.17 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Delfin have won 3 to Mushuc Runa's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.94, favoring Mushuc Runa. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Delfin
35%
Draws
28%
Mushuc Runa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Delfin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mushuc Runa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Delfin taking it.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Delfin Clean Sheet 68%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin Mushuc Runa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.76 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Delfin
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
3:1
Feb 18, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Delfin
2:0
Nov 8, 2024 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 59 / 100
Mushuc Runa 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin Mushuc Runa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delfin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mushuc Runa let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Delfin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Delfin found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS Mushuc Runa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
Page 1 of 6

Mushuc Runa

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0
Delfin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Mushuc Runa 31 9 12 10 36:39 39
12 Dep. Cuenca 31 10 7 14 26:38 37
13 Orense 31 9 6 16 37:49 33
14 Tecnico U. 31 10 3 18 29:43 33
15 Delfin 31 7 8 16 20:32 29
16 Manta 31 6 6 19 19:43 24
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)