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Delfin vs Mushuc Runa

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Molinas I. A.
34'
Orejuela C.
41'
Ushina K.

AI Match Summary

Delfin in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Delfin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Delfin
17%
Draws
13%
Mushuc Runa
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Delfin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Delfin lately — more wins on the board than Mushuc Runa.
  • Delfin are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Delfin Clean Sheet 68%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin Mushuc Runa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
3:1
Feb 18, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Delfin
2:0
Nov 8, 2024 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
4:2
May 19, 2024 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Delfin
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ushina K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mushuc Runa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 77 / 100
Mushuc Runa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin Mushuc Runa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Mushuc Runa let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Delfin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mushuc Runa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS Mushuc Runa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle19151343:1946
2U. Catolica2095631:1832
3Aucas1995521:1932
4Barcelona SC1987421:1431
5Macara2085721:2129
6LDU Quito2084819:1628
7Dep. Cuenca2084819:2328
8Leones del Norte2076721:2027
9Emelec1976616:1727
10Tecnico U.19721019:2023
11Orense1965822:2623
12Guayaquil City1965817:2223
13Delfin2065913:1923
14Mushuc Runa1956824:2921
15Libertad1956818:2521
16Manta1934127:2413