Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Delfin vs Mushuc Runa

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Molinas I. A.
34'
Orejuela C.
41'
Ushina K.

AI Match Summary

Delfin in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Delfin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Delfin
30%
Draws
42%
Mushuc Runa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mushuc Runa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mushuc Runa lately — more wins on the board than Delfin.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Delfin Clean Sheet 21%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin Mushuc Runa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.68 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Delfin
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
3:1
Feb 18, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Delfin
2:0
Nov 8, 2024 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ushina K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Mushuc Runa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 32 / 100
Mushuc Runa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin Mushuc Runa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mushuc Runa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mushuc Runa let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Delfin's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Delfin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS Mushuc Runa
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0
Delfin
23 Aug
Delfin
0 : 1
Aucas
20 Aug
Juventud Italiana
0 : 1
Delfin
15 Aug
Independiente del Valle
3 : 2
Delfin
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Mushuc Runa

(Away)
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0
Delfin
22 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
16 Aug
Mushuc Runa
0 : 0
Barcelona SC
10 Aug
Tecnico U.
0 : 3
Mushuc Runa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 28 22 2 4 67:30 68
2 Macara 28 14 6 8 39:30 48
3 Aucas 27 14 5 8 31:26 47
4 U. Catolica 27 12 8 7 47:25 44
5 Barcelona SC 28 11 9 8 30:23 42
6 LDU Quito 28 12 6 10 27:22 42
7 Mushuc Runa 28 9 10 9 33:34 37
8 Libertad 27 10 7 10 29:30 37
9 Guayaquil City 28 9 9 10 27:31 36
10 Leones del Norte 27 9 8 10 29:30 35
11 Emelec 27 9 8 10 23:32 35
12 Dep. Cuenca 28 10 5 13 24:35 35
13 Orense 27 8 6 13 31:41 30
14 Tecnico U. 28 9 2 17 26:39 29
15 Delfin 28 7 6 15 18:29 27
16 Manta 28 5 5 18 17:41 20
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)