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Deltras Sidoarjo vs Balikpapan

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion Gelora Delta
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deltras Sidoarjo play Balikpapan in the Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deltras Sidoarjo averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Balikpapan averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Deltras Sidoarjo won 2, Balikpapan won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Deltras Sidoarjo and 1.25 for Balikpapan. This points to a Deltras Sidoarjo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Deltras Sidoarjo
24%
Draws
24%
Balikpapan
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Deltras Sidoarjo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Deltras Sidoarjo picked up more points recently compared to Balikpapan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Deltras Sidoarjo Clean Sheet 19%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deltras Sidoarjo Balikpapan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.37 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Championship
Deltras Sidoarjo vs Balikpapan
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs Deltras Sidoarjo
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Championship
Deltras Sidoarjo vs Balikpapan
1:1
Dec 11, 2022 Championship
Deltras Sidoarjo vs Balikpapan
0:0
Sep 26, 2022 Championship
Balikpapan vs Deltras Sidoarjo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deltras Sidoarjo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tito H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Balikpapan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deltras Sidoarjo 51 / 100
Balikpapan 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deltras Sidoarjo Balikpapan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deltras Sidoarjo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deltras Sidoarjo attacking → ← attacking Balikpapan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deltras Sidoarjo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Balikpapan let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Deltras Sidoarjo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Balikpapan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 22
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Garudayaksa271410349:1952
2Adhyaksa27149464:3451
3Bekasi City27128742:2744
4Sumsel United27126940:3342
5Persiraja Aceh271010742:3240
6PSPS Riau27910850:4537
7PSMS Medan2799933:3136
8Persikad Depok27971139:4534
9Persekat Tegal27691223:3827
10Sriwijaya27022515:932
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1PSS Sleman27168353:1956
2Persipura Jayapura27175544:1756
3PS Barito Putera27158441:1853
4Tornado Pekanbaru27155747:2150
5Deltras Sidoarjo271331139:3342
6Persela Lamongan27118834:2641
7Persiku Kudus27761435:4127
8PSIS Semarang27651622:5023
9Balikpapan27471623:4219
10Persipal BU27072019:907