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DEM vs Harkemase Boys Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Adams J.
54' Event
Zejli B.
56' Event
Betzema P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Harkemase Boys in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harkemase Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
DEM
20%
Draws
58%
Harkemase Boys
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harkemase Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harkemase Boys lately — more wins on the board than DEM.
  • Win probability leans Harkemase Boys's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
DEM Clean Sheet 20%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DEM Harkemase Boys
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
DEM vs Harkemase Boys
1:5
Aug 17, 2024 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs DEM
3:1
Apr 20, 2024 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs DEM
0:1
Nov 18, 2023 Derde Divisie
DEM vs Harkemase Boys
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DEM Compare

Top Goalscorer Zejli B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Harkemase Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Prinsen T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Adams J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DEM 20 / 100
Harkemase Boys 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DEM Harkemase Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harkemase Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

DEM found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Harkemase Boys let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

DEM has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Harkemase Boys
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

DEM

(Home)
26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5
RKAV Volendam
24 May
Excelsior 31
4 : 2
DEM
17 May
DEM
0 : 2
Genemuiden
10 May
Sportlust
3 : 0
DEM
03 May
DEM
4 : 3
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6

Harkemase Boys

(Away)
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1
Staphorst
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)