Sport Picks
Democrata GV vs Ivinhema
Brazil
Serie D Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas, Governador Valadares 
Match Events
34'
34'
Corona G.
90'
90'
Gabriel Vieira
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Democrata GV have won more games recently than Ivinhema.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Democrata GV have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Democrata GV Clean Sheet 68%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Democrata GV | Ivinhema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 29, 2026 Serie D
Democrata GV vs Ivinhema
1:1
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Ivinhema vs Democrata GV
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Democrata GV Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabriel Vieira
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Ivinhema Compare
Top Goalscorer Corona G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Democrata GV 41 / 100
Ivinhema 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Democrata GV Ivinhema
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DGV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ivinhema conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Democrata GV scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Democrata GV went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Democrata GV VS Ivinhema
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Democrata GV
(Home) 29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1 Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1 Democrata GV
14 Jun
Real Noroeste
0 : 0 Democrata GV
31 May
Democrata GV
3 : 1 Rio Branco ES
25 May
Democrata GV
3 : 1 Porto-BA
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29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1 Ivinhema
31 May
Democrata GV
3 : 1 Rio Branco ES
25 May
Democrata GV
3 : 1 Porto-BA
04 May
Democrata GV
2 : 0 Vitoria ES
25 Apr
Democrata GV
1 : 0 Tombense
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Ivinhema
(Away) 12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0 Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2 ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1 Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1 Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1 Ivinhema
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12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0 Ivinhema
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1 Ivinhema
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1 Ivinhema
23 May
Betim FC
3 : 0 Ivinhema
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0 Ivinhema
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC3
Ferroviario0
America RN1
Gama0
Luverdense0
ABC0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Iguatu1
EC Sao Jose (PA)2
Treze PB1
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa0
Sao Luiz0
CSA0
Cianorte0
ASA1
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-