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Democrata GV vs Ivinhema Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas, Governador Valadares
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Corona G.
90' Event
Gabriel Vieira

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Democrata GV
35%
Draws
25%
Ivinhema
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Democrata GV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Democrata GV have won more games recently than Ivinhema.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Democrata GV taking it.
  • Democrata GV have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Democrata GV Clean Sheet 68%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Democrata GV Ivinhema
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Serie D
Democrata GV vs Ivinhema
1:1
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Ivinhema vs Democrata GV
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Democrata GV Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Vieira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ivinhema Compare

Top Goalscorer Corona G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Democrata GV 59 / 100
Ivinhema 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Democrata GV Ivinhema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Democrata GV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ivinhema conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Democrata GV scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Democrata GV went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Democrata GV VS Ivinhema
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Democrata GV

(Home)
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Democrata GV
31 May
Democrata GV
3 : 1
Rio Branco ES
25 May
Democrata GV
3 : 1
Porto-BA
Page 1 of 6

Ivinhema

(Away)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3