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Democrata GV vs North Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Yuri Merlim
24'
Bernardo Diniz
27' Event
Tiago Marques

AI Match Summary

North Esporte Clube in this Mineiro matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Democrata GV
30%
Draws
34%
North Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Democrata GV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Democrata GV haven't matched North Esporte Clube's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Democrata GV's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Mineiro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Democrata GV Clean Sheet 20%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Democrata GV North Esporte Clube
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Mineiro
Democrata GV vs North Esporte Clube
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Democrata GV Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

North Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri Merlim
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiago Marques
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Democrata GV 36 / 100
North Esporte Clube 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Democrata GV North Esporte Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Democrata GV's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Democrata GV went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: North Esporte Clube conceded in 53% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Democrata GV VS North Esporte Clube
0.75 Goals Scored 1.33
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.17
38% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG835016:814
2URT83237:711
3Uberlandia82338:129
4Democrata GV82153:87
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America MG843110:615
2Pouso Alegre841314:1413
3Tombense833210:712
4Betim FC82336:99
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruzeiro850314:715
2North Esporte Clube832314:1111
3Itabirito821510:177
4Athletic Club81437:137