Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Democrata SL vs Mamore

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare), Sete Lagoas
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Marcelo Macola
25' Event
Willian Mococa
71' Event
Emerson Machado

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Democrata SL
20%
Draws
28%
Mamore
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Democrata SL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Mamore haven't matched Democrata SL's recent run of results.
  • Democrata SL are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Democrata SL have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Democrata SL, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 68%
Mamore Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Democrata SL Mamore
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.46 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Mamore
3:1
Aug 2, 2026 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Democrata SL
1:2
Oct 25, 2020 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Democrata SL
2:2
Mar 28, 2018 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Democrata SL
0:1
Mar 19, 2013 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Democrata SL
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Democrata SL Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo Macola
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willian Mococa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mamore Compare

Top Goalscorer Ian Augusto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Democrata SL 95 / 100
Mamore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Democrata SL Mamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Democrata SL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Democrata SL went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Democrata SL's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Mamore has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Democrata SL VS Mamore
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Democrata SL

(Home)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Aymores
2 : 2
Democrata SL
Page 1 of 6

Mamore

(Away)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uberaba 1
Mamore 2
Democrata SL 6
Patrocinense 2
Valeriodoce 1
Villa Nova AC 2
Boa 1
Aymores 3
Semi-finals
Mamore 2
Democrata SL 5
Villa Nova AC 4
Aymores 3
Final
Democrata SL 2
Villa Nova AC 3